Thursday, January 23, 2020

125 million to die if India-Pak go nuclear

Straight Line News Network

Srinagar, Oct 3: A recent study shows that a nuclear war between India and Pakistan could kill up to 125 million people and then tip the world into a decade of starvation as smoke blocks sunlight.

If either of the two countries India or Pakistan attacked each other with a significant proportion of their growing nuclear arsenals, millions would die instantly from the blast and then firestorms would rage through cities. The fires would send huge quantities of smoke into the atmosphere, devastating agriculture as it blocked sunlight and cut temperatures.

Escalating tension between the two countries over their Kashmir rivalry has this year underlined the threat of war between the nuclear-armed states. They have fought two wars over the disputed Himalayan territory and fought air clashes in February.

“India and Pakistan are of special concern because of a long history of military clashes including serious recent ones, lack of progress in resolving territorial issues, densely populated urban areas, and ongoing rapid expansion of their respective nuclear arsenals,” a paper in the journal Science Advances stated.

Researchers considered a scenario in 2025 where militants attack India’s parliament, killing most of its leaders. New Delhi retaliates by sending tanks into the part of Kashmir controlled by Pakistan. Fearing it will be overrun, Islamabad hits the invading forces with its battlefield nuclear weapons, triggering a nuclear war.

Calculating different outcomes according to whether the rivals use their largest nuclear weapons, the researchers estimated 50 to 125 million people could die, and nuclear-ignited fires would spread smoke across the world within weeks.

Surface sunlight could fall by 20 to 35 per cent, cooling the global surface by 2 to 5C and reducing rain and snow by 15 to 30 per cent. Recovery would take more than 10 years.

Agriculture would fall by 15 to 30 per cent on land, threatening mass starvation and additional worldwide collateral fatalities.

 

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